JBK vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
12º
12º
19
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIF
2 - 4
JBK
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 2
JBK
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JBK
2 - 0
GBK
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JBK
2 - 1
ROP
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 1
JBK
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
OLS
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIF
3 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JJK
1 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GBK
2 - 4
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
OLS
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |