Jarota Jarocin vs Swinoujscie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
ROD
2 - 1
JAR
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
JAR
1 - 2
NIE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KOT
0 - 2
JAR
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
JAR
2 - 0
TKP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CHP
0 - 0
JAR
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Swinoujscie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
PEL
2 - 2
FLO
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
FLO
1 - 0
KAS
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MGZ
1 - 3
FLO
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KKW
1 - 0
FLO
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 2
FLO
12%
22%
66%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |