Jarota Jarocin vs Bałtyk Gdynia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
16º
28
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
USW
2 - 1
JAR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 1
NOW
24%
20%
56%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
2 - 3
STA
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIN
1 - 2
JAR
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
SOK
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bałtyk Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
VIN
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SOK
2 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 4
USK
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SKO
2 - 0
BAL
81%
14%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |