Jarama Race B vs Chamartin Vergara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarama Race B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JSB
4 - 1
JAR
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 4
FTC
27%
21%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 4
ORO
20%
18%
62%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
JSB
5 - 6
JAR
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 3
ESC
26%
21%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FTC
2 - 2
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
5 - 1
CER
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 4
ESC
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
DEP
5 - 2
CHA
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 3
ESC
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |