Jarama Race B vs Carranza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarama Race B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PED
2 - 0
JAR
37%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 0
OLY
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MRV
5 - 1
JAR
46%
20%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 1
SAN
41%
21%
39%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CLU
1 - 1
JAR
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CFB
3 - 1
CAR
73%
15%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 15
ORO
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
JSB
2 - 1
CAR
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RAY
12 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 5
FOM
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |