JäPS II vs NJS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
9º
9º
23
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JäPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PPJ
5 - 1
JAP
45%
21%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
4 - 2
GRI
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +5 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
FCR
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 0
JAP
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 3
ATL
30%
21%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
NJS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
1 - 1
GRI
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MYP
0 - 1
NJS
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 2
NJS
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
NJS
0 - 0
PPJ
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |