JäPS II vs GrIFK Grankulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
9º
9º
27
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JäPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
FCR
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 0
JAP
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 3
ATL
30%
21%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FUT
2 - 3
JAP
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
5 - 0
JAP
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
GrIFK Grankulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 1
FUT
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 3
PPJ
71%
17%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
INT
6 - 1
GRI
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
0 - 1
GRI
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 2
MUS
33%
22%
45%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |