Japón U23 vs Marruecos U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japón U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
JPN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
TUR
2 - 0
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
JPN
2 - 0
BHR
80%
13%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 4
JPN
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SYR
2 - 1
JPN
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Marruecos U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
HND
2 - 2
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
IRQ
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +4 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
POR
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |