Japan U23 vs Egypt U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
0 - 0
HND
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
JPN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
TUR
2 - 0
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
JPN
2 - 0
BHR
80%
13%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 1
BLR
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 1
NZL
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
EGY
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 1
TUR
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
NED
3 - 0
EGY
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |