Jammerbugt vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jammerbugt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JAM
2 - 1
SKI
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ROS
5 - 1
JAM
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JAM
2 - 2
AKA
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
JAM
0 - 0
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
JAM
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AGF
0 - 0
BIF
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
SIF
1 - 1
AGF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SON
3 - 1
AGF
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
AGF
2 - 2
OBK
32%
25%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |