Jammerbugt vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jammerbugt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HEL
3 - 0
JAM
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
ESB
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SKI
3 - 0
JAM
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
BRA
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ESB
3 - 0
JAM
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 1
BFR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AAF
5 - 0
THI
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
AAF
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 0
B93
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
4 - 0
BIF
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |