Jamaica vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
JAM
0 - 2
URU
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CYM
1 - 4
JAM
8%
19%
73%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 2
USA
24%
29%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
JAM
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
GHA
2 - 1
JAM
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
CHN
1 - 0
NZL
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
NZL
0 - 2
BRA
6%
15%
79%
|
72 | 99 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
3%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
NZL
1 - 2
USA
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1999 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |