Jamaica vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
JAM
1 - 1
PAN
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
SUI
2 - 0
JAM
73%
19%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
JAM
1 - 1
PER
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
JAM
2 - 1
CAN
46%
28%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
JAM
2 - 0
HTI
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CRC
2 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
HTI
0 - 0
CHI
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
CUB
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
CUB
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
ARG
0 - 0
CHI
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |