Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Jalapa vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
JAL
3 - 0
AUR
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LEO
4 - 2
JAL
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
JAL
3 - 3
ANT
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
2 - 1
JAL
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
JAL
3 - 3
MUN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
COB
0 - 0
TEC
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LEO
2 - 0
COB
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
COB
1 - 0
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |