Jahn Regensburg II vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
14º
8º
28
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AMM
2 - 0
JRE
26%
21%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
JRE
4 - 1
GRO
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FEU
3 - 1
JRE
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JRE
4 - 2
TSV
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 5
JRE
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WEI
4 - 0
FCG
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 1
WEI
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
WEI
3 - 1
ELT
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SVD
3 - 0
WEI
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
WEI
0 - 2
ASV
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |