Jahn Forchheim vs Bayreuth II SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+198%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
JFO
1 - 3
FSS
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 1
JFO
5%
11%
84%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FVR
0 - 2
JFO
17%
19%
63%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
JFO
1 - 1
BAI
91%
7%
2%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SVU
3 - 3
JFO
6%
12%
82%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth II SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVU
1 - 1
BSV
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SVM
1 - 2
BSV
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BSV
3 - 1
ERB
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +3 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BSV
0 - 1
SCS
5%
11%
85%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
BSV
2 - 3
VFR
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |