Lobos UPNFM vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
21
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
JAG
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RES
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
JAG
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 1
VIC
20%
25%
56%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
CDG
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 0
CDG
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
MOT
19%
26%
56%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |