Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 0-1
Jagodina vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
NPA
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
JAG
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRV
1 - 0
JAG
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 0
BOR
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORD
3 - 1
ZST
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ORD
5 - 0
AKZ
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 15 | 60 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
AST
1 - 0
ORD
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
AKZ
1 - 2
ORD
6%
13%
82%
|
75 | 15 | 60 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ORD
1 - 0
OKZ
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |