Jagodina vs Morava Vladicin Han analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FKS
2 - 0
JAG
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
JAG
4 - 0
KOP
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
NIS
2 - 0
JAG
16%
24%
61%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | -2 |
Matches
Morava Vladicin Han
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
ZEL
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SIN
0 - 0
MOR
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
FKS
2 - 0
MOR
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUK
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
DUB
1 - 2
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |