Jagodina vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 1
HAJ
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BEO
2 - 0
JAG
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FKS
3 - 2
JAG
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
BOR
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
BEO
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
SHR
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
2 - 1
PAR
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
1 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 0
NPA
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |