Jagodina vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SLO
2 - 0
JAG
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 2
MET
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ČUK
1 - 3
JAG
29%
30%
42%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 1
JAV
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BSK
1 - 0
JAG
37%
30%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SME
1 - 4
PAR
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
VOJ
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FKS
1 - 2
PAR
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CRV
1 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |