Jagiellonia Bialystok vs TS Polonia Bytom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
KMI
0 - 0
JAG
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 1
ODR
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ZAW
3 - 1
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
3 - 2
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
3 - 2
LOM
83%
12%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
TS Polonia Bytom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ODR
0 - 3
TSP
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TSP
1 - 1
POL
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
POL
2 - 1
TSP
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
TSP
1 - 0
POD
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GDA
1 - 1
TSP
52%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |