Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznań analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok Lech Poznań
77 ELO 77
15.1% Tilt 12.3%
815º General ELO ranking 789º
22º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
24.7%
Draw
23.6%
Lech Poznań

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.6%
Win probability
Lech Poznań
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jagiellonia Bialystok
+8%
+10%
Lech Poznań

Points and table prediction

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Their league position
Lech Poznań
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lech Poznań
70
70
100%
Raków Częstochowa
69
69
100%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
61
61
100%
Pogon Szczecin
58
58
100%
Legia Warszawa
54
54
100%
KS Cracovia
51
51
100%
GKS Katowice
49
49
0%
Motor Lublin
49
49
0%
Górnik Zabrze
47
47
100%
Piast Gliwice
10º
45
45
10º
0%
Korona Kielce
11º
45
45
11º
0%
Radomiak Radom
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Widzew Łódź
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Lechia Gdansk
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Zaglebie Lubin
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Stal Mielec
16º
31
31
16º
100%
Śląsk Wrocław
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Puszcza Niepolomice
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Lech Poznań
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Lech Poznań
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2025
CER
Cercle Brugge
2 - 0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
JAG
60%
21%
19%
77 87 10 0
09 Mar. 2025
WLO
Widzew Łódź
0 - 1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
JAG
43%
25%
33%
77 76 1 0
06 Mar. 2025
JAG
Jagiellonia Bialystok
3 - 0
Cercle Brugge
CER
30%
24%
45%
77 87 10 0
02 Mar. 2025
JAG
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 - 0
GKS Katowice
GKS
46%
25%
29%
76 77 1 +1
26 Feb. 2025
WAR
Legia Warszawa
3 - 1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
JAG
47%
23%
31%
77 76 1 -1

Matches

Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
3 - 1
Stal Mielec
STA
43%
26%
31%
77 77 0 0
01 Mar. 2025
POG
Pogon Szczecin
0 - 3
Lech Poznań
LPO
50%
25%
25%
77 77 0 0
23 Feb. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
3 - 1
Zaglebie Lubin
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
77 77 0 0
14 Feb. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
0 - 1
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
49%
27%
25%
77 77 0 0
09 Feb. 2025
GDA
Lechia Gdansk
1 - 0
Lech Poznań
LPO
45%
26%
29%
78 78 0 -1