Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
4 - 1
JAG
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 1
RCH
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
JAG
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
KOR
2 - 0
JAG
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 1
JAG
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
LPO
0 - 1
WIS
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
WIS
0 - 0
LPO
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
RCH
3 - 0
LPO
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
LPO
0 - 1
GKS
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
LPO
3 - 2
ZAL
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |