Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 9-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Kruoja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
KRU
0 - 1
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
JAG
4 - 2
GDA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
POG
1 - 3
JAG
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
JAG
3 - 2
GÓR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
WIS
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kruoja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
KRU
0 - 1
JAG
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 1
STU
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 2
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 2
ZAL
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 2
KZA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |