Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-4
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 0
WIS
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
RIO
4 - 4
JAG
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ARK
0 - 2
JAG
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 0
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 1
GDA
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
ZUL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SDL
3 - 2
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
STR
60%
23%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
LEU
0 - 2
GEN
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PAO
1 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |