Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-3
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TER
0 - 1
JAG
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
FKQ
1 - 1
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
JAG
4 - 0
DBA
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
DBA
0 - 1
JAG
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
6 - 0
SGO
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
FKQ
1 - 1
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
UTR
0 - 1
FKQ
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
TER
1 - 0
FKQ
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
QAR
2 - 0
FKQ
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SUM
2 - 1
FKQ
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |