UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 7-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
JAG
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUS
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
KZA
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DTE
3 - 3
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
JAG
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
KZA
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |