UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-5
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs FK Bodo Glimt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
JAG
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUS
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 2
HAU
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 3
BOG
33%
23%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 1
BOG
16%
21%
63%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 0
RIG
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
3 - 1
ODD
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |