Jadran vs Zagorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
14º
10º
34
3º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
NKG
4 - 1
JAP
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 3
DUG
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 1
TRN
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MZL
4 - 0
JAP
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 2
NKR
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZAG
3 - 2
TRN
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MZL
4 - 3
ZAG
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 2
NKR
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
ZAG
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 1
OPA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |