Jadran vs Zagorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JAP
2 - 3
ZAG
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAK
4 - 1
JAP
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -3 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 0
ORI
54%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
KRK
3 - 0
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JAP
2 - 1
VRB
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ZAG
5 - 3
OPA
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
ZAG
28%
21%
51%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 2
ZAG
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 0
MAK
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 5
ZAG
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |