Jadran vs Vrbovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAP
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
JAP
3 - 0
RVG
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NPI
2 - 1
JAP
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKR
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 0
JAP
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Vrbovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VRB
1 - 1
LUK
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NEH
0 - 0
VRB
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VRB
4 - 0
NKG
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HAS
5 - 1
VRB
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VRA
2 - 1
VRB
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |