Jadran vs Stupnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
VNV
0 - 0
JAP
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 1
SEG
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NKG
0 - 0
JAP
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JAP
3 - 1
DUB
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NEH
1 - 1
JAP
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stupnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
STU
2 - 1
OPA
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 0
STU
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VNV
4 - 1
STU
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
SEG
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NKG
3 - 2
STU
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |