Jadran vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
JAP
3 - 2
KUS
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VRB
0 - 2
JAP
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JAP
3 - 0
ZAG
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAK
3 - 2
JAP
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
JAP
1 - 1
VRA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SEG
1 - 0
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TRN
2 - 1
SEG
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SEG
3 - 2
DUG
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HAS
2 - 2
SEG
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SEG
1 - 1
VIN
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |