Jadran vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NKG
0 - 0
JAP
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JAP
3 - 1
DUB
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NEH
1 - 1
JAP
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROV
1 - 0
JAP
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SEG
0 - 1
OPA
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
SEG
29%
24%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SEG
3 - 2
VNV
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 5
SEG
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SPL
5 - 0
SEG
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | -1 |