Jadran vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKB
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NKC
0 - 3
JAP
27%
21%
51%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKG
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VNV
3 - 3
JAP
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
JAP
1 - 0
NKR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NKG
7 - 0
NOV
76%
14%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 1
VNV
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 3
RUD
11%
18%
72%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NKR
1 - 2
NOV
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAZ
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |