Jadran vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROV
1 - 0
JAP
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 2
DUG
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VRB
2 - 1
JAP
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NKB
1 - 2
JAP
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
4 - 0
OPA
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
STU
2 - 3
NOV
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
VNV
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEG
1 - 0
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 1
NKG
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |