Jadran vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NKR
1 - 0
JAP
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
JAP
1 - 3
NKC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
NKG
3 - 0
JAP
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
JAP
0 - 2
NKR
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 2
JAP
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NOV
4 - 1
OPA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VRB
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 1
DUG
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NEH
3 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
ORI
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |