Jadran vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
JAP
3 - 3
NKZ
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VRB
1 - 2
JAP
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
JAP
1 - 0
MAK
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ROV
2 - 0
JAP
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
NKG
1 - 3
JAP
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NKG
3 - 2
NOV
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
5 - 1
NKC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 0
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
NPI
1 - 1
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |