Jadran vs Krk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
JAP
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NKB
1 - 1
JAP
13%
17%
70%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKC
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKG
0 - 6
JAP
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
6 - 0
VNV
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Krk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
KRK
4 - 1
NKC
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NKG
5 - 0
KRK
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KRK
1 - 3
VNV
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKR
3 - 0
KRK
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
KRK
4 - 1
PAZ
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |