Jadran vs Krk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
JAP
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TRN
1 - 2
JAP
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JAP
1 - 1
DUG
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
HAS
0 - 3
JAP
64%
21%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
JAP
0 - 5
VIN
9%
19%
73%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Krk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KRK
2 - 2
TRN
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
KRK
1 - 2
LOK
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DUG
0 - 1
KRK
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KRK
1 - 0
HAS
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 1
KRK
77%
16%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |