Jadran vs Grobničan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
16º
16º
28
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRN
3 - 1
JAP
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
KAR
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BJE
7 - 2
JAP
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
HDR
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ULJ
2 - 0
JAP
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NKG
2 - 0
DUG
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TRN
0 - 1
NKG
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NKG
1 - 2
SEG
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
NKG
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NKG
0 - 2
MZL
28%
25%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |