Jadran vs Grobničan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
16º
14º
35
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
ORI
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KRK
1 - 0
JAP
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 3
JAD
27%
29%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TRN
2 - 1
JAP
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 4
MZL
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
0 - 0
NKV
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
3 - 3
BJE
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
NKG
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
4 - 0
HRV
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
2 - 2
DUG
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |