Jadran vs Crikvenica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ROV
1 - 1
JAP
45%
26%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
NKB
2 - 2
JAP
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
JAP
4 - 0
NKR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NNH
1 - 2
JAP
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
JAP
5 - 0
NMF
56%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crikvenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NKC
1 - 2
NKR
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NKB
1 - 0
NKC
51%
23%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NKC
1 - 3
NNH
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NMF
1 - 1
NKC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VNV
0 - 0
NKC
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |