Jadran vs Cres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKG
0 - 6
JAP
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
6 - 0
VNV
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NKR
1 - 2
JAP
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 0
PAZ
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ROV
0 - 7
JAP
15%
20%
66%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKB
2 - 0
NKC
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NKC
1 - 6
NKG
10%
15%
75%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VNV
2 - 1
NKC
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NKC
0 - 3
NKR
30%
22%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
PAZ
1 - 0
NKC
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |