Jadran vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
16º
16º
28
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SOL
6 - 0
JAP
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
NKG
2 - 0
JAP
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 2
TRN
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 0
JAP
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
JAP
0 - 1
BJE
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 0
TRN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
KAR
6 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAR
3 - 1
BJE
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
HDR
5 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
ULJ
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |