Jadran vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NEH
0 - 1
JAP
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKG
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
HAS
1 - 0
JAP
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
JAP
1 - 0
VRB
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAP
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VRA
3 - 0
LUK
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUK
4 - 0
NEH
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
NKG
2 - 2
LUK
18%
23%
58%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LUK
3 - 2
HAS
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VRB
1 - 1
LUK
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |