Jadran vs NK Kustošija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
16º
14º
61
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
DUG
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BJE
1 - 1
JAP
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
5 - 1
KAR
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HRV
4 - 3
JAP
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
NKG
18%
20%
63%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 1
BJE
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 1
KUS
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
3 - 1
HRV
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NKG
5 - 3
KUS
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KUS
3 - 0
KRK
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |