Jadran vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NKR
4 - 1
JAP
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
2 - 2
BEL
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
OPA
1 - 1
JAP
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JAP
3 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JAD
3 - 1
JAP
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 2
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNS
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HNS
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |