Jadran vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
67.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
JAP
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
JAP
1 - 3
NEH
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NKR
0 - 0
JAP
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
JAP
1 - 2
NOV
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
JAP
3 - 3
NKZ
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HNG
1 - 0
NKG
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NKC
0 - 0
HNG
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HNG
1 - 0
NOV
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
HNG
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NPI
2 - 3
HNG
9%
20%
71%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |